The Playoff Push · 2026-27

The Playoff Push

Where the Sabres stand in the race, read against what playoff teams have looked like at the same point of every full season since 2010-11.

The odds, team by team · EasternNov 9

Each ring fills to a team's playoff odds across 10,000 simulated seasons.

The eight likeliest
  1. >99%CAR
  2. 95%NJD
  3. 90%TBL
  4. 80%BOS
  5. 77%MTL
  6. 76%OTT
  7. 63%FLA
  8. 60%NYR
Chasing
  1. 51%WSH
  2. 38%BUF
  3. 25%NYI
  4. 17%CBJ
  5. 11%PIT
  6. 11%TOR
  7. 6%DET
  8. 1%PHI
Where every team could finish · Eastern

Each bar is where a team's final points land across 10,000 simulated seasons: the pill the middle half, the thin line 8 seasons in 10, the dot the middle season. The shaded band is where the conference's last playoff team usually finishes. A bar clear of the band is safe; one straddling it is the race.

CAR 30 pts>99%
NJD 26 pts95%
TBL 24 pts90%
BOS 27 pts80%
MTL 25 pts77%
OTT 23 pts76%
FLA 20 pts63%
NYR 21 pts60%
WSH 18 pts51%
BUF 19 pts38%
NYI 17 pts25%
CBJ 14 pts17%
PIT 14 pts11%
TOR 18 pts11%
DET 17 pts6%
PHI 13 pts1%
8 in 10 simulated seasonsthe middle halfthe middle seasonwhere the last team in usually finishes (94–100)
The odds, team by team · Western
The eight likeliest
  1. 98%EDM
  2. 96%MIN
  3. 91%VGK
  4. 86%COL
  5. 83%DAL
  6. 77%UTA
  7. 71%NSH
  8. 46%SEA
Chasing
  1. 41%ANA
  2. 33%STL
  3. 29%LAK
  4. 25%WPG
  5. 20%CGY
  6. 5%SJS
  7. <1%CHI
  8. <1%VAN
Where every team could finish · Western
EDM 27 pts98%
MIN 28 pts96%
VGK 26 pts91%
COL 22 pts86%
DAL 22 pts83%
UTA 21 pts77%
NSH 21 pts71%
SEA 19 pts46%
ANA 21 pts41%
STL 16 pts33%
WPG 17 pts25%
LAK 12 pts29%
CGY 17 pts20%
SJS 15 pts5%
CHI 9 pts<1%
VAN 7 pts<1%
8 in 10 simulated seasonsthe middle halfthe middle seasonwhere the last team in usually finishes (93–99)
The Sabres' odds this season
0%25%50%75%100%Sep 29Oct 6Oct 13Oct 20Oct 27Nov 3Nov 9Sep 29: 47%Sep 30: 48%Oct 1: 47%Oct 2: 33%Oct 3: 32%Oct 4: 38%Oct 5: 40%Oct 6: 42%Oct 7: 50%Oct 8: 50%Oct 9: 38%Oct 10: 38%Oct 11: 28%Oct 12: 28%Oct 13: 36%Oct 14: 29%Oct 15: 30%Oct 16: 33%Oct 17: 33%Oct 18: 32%Oct 19: 33%Oct 20: 32%Oct 21: 31%Oct 22: 30%Oct 23: 30%Oct 24: 31%Oct 25: 26%Oct 26: 27%Oct 27: 28%Oct 28: 32%Oct 29: 34%Oct 30: 38%Oct 31: 37%Nov 1: 44%Nov 2: 46%Nov 3: 46%Nov 4: 47%Nov 5: 37%Nov 6: 38%Nov 7: 45%Nov 8: 44%Nov 9: 38%