The Playoff Push
Where the Sabres stand in the race, read against what playoff teams have looked like at the same point of every full season since 2010-11.
Where the Sabres stood on each date, and how often teams in the same spot made the playoffs since 2010-11. The next one reads as if it were today.
- ThanksgivingNext · Nov 2644%made itToday: out by 1
- ChristmasDec 25AheadFrom each spot
- New Year's DayJan 1AheadFrom each spot
- Feb. 1Feb 1AheadFrom each spot
- March 1Mar 1AheadFrom each spot
- April 1Apr 1AheadFrom each spot
The Sabres' points after every game, against the East's last playoff team in each full season since 2010-11: the dashed line is its median, the shading its middle half, the faint band its range. Switch on every Sabres season to lay them over it; the seasons that ended in the playoffs are gold.
BUF 19 after 17 games. The East's last team in has usually had 19.
The odds come from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season, every night, with each game priced by the same model as PuckLuck's projections. The benchmarks use the 13 full 82-game seasons since 2010-11 with a normal playoff (not 2012-13, 2019-20 or 2020-21); this season has 84 games, so the usual cutline is scaled as a points percentage. How the numbers work