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Tyson Kozak
Center · BUF · NHL

Tyson Kozak

Age
23
Height
5'11"
Weight
187 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2021, round 7, 193rd overall
Born
CAN
2026-27
NHL · Buffalo Sabres
Games
2
Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0

His NHL ratings and game log →

Prospect score · 2026-27
Depth

NHL regular, measured on the prospect scale

24th among BUF players 23 and under

+0.5WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds18%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds2%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
ArrivalArrived69 NHL games so far
WAR a season if he sticks−0.3+0.5+0.8Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 4 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+11516171819202122Age2018-19, age 15, 40 GP: +0.28 vs. his age group (0.09 NHL-equivalent points per game)2019-20, age 16, 63 GP: -0.39 vs. his age group (0.08 NHL-equivalent points per game)2020-21, age 17, 18 GP: -0.29 vs. his age group (0.11 NHL-equivalent points per game)2021-22, age 18, 66 GP: +0.13 vs. his age group (0.19 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 19, 55 GP: -0.89 vs. his age group (0.08 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 20, 41 GP: -0.66 vs. his age group (0.13 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 21, 52 GP: -0.28 vs. his age group (0.21 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 22, 46 GP: -0.75 vs. his age group (0.13 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Zac Rinaldo2008 · #178 · at 2355%275374Regular−0.27
2Eric Wellwood2009 · #172 · at 2352%3131Did not stick—
3Tyler Motte2013 · #121 · at 2350%269455Regular+0.16
4Marián Studenic2017 · #143 · at 2348%4646Did not stick—
5Dmytro Timashov2015 · #125 · at 2346%4545Did not stick—
6Jordan Szwarz2009 · #97 · at 2346%4750Did not stick—
7Anton Blidh2013 · #180 · at 2344%7089Did not stick—
8Jerry D'Amigo2009 · #158 · at 2344%3131Did not stick—
9Vinnie Hinostroza2012 · #169 · at 2344%272477Regular+0.53
10Anders Bjork2014 · #146 · at 2343%225225Regular+0.46
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27NHL · Buffalo Sabres20000
2025-26NHL · Buffalo Sabres462462
2024-25NHL · Buffalo Sabres213252
2024-25AHL · Rochester Americans31861437
2023-24AHL · Rochester Americans41571214
2022-23AHL · Rochester Americans55551040
2021-22WHL · Portland Winterhawks6632376942
2020-21WHL · Portland Winterhawks18381113
2020-21MJHL · Dauphin Kings10110
2019-20WHL · Portland Winterhawks6313162915
2018-19WHL · Portland Winterhawks50002
2018-19MMHL · Southwest Cougars U18 AAA4026467254
2017-18WHL Cup · Team Manitoba50002
2017-18MMHL · Southwest Cougars U18 AAA4410253522
2016-17WAAA U15 · Southwest Cougars U15 AAA3628295716
2015-16WAAA U15 · Southwest Cougars U15 AAA3311132418

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work