Topias Leinonen
Goaltender · BUF · HockeyAllsvenskan

Topias Leinonen

Age
22
Height
6'6"
Weight
234 lb
Catches
L
Drafted
2022, round 2, 41st overall
Born
FIN
2025-26
AHL · Rochester Americans
Games
8
Save pct
.855
GAA
3.48

His NHL ratings and game log →

Prospect score · 2026-27
Projectable

144th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

6th in the BUF system · 2nd among its goalies

+1.1WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds32%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 100 games by 27
Impact odds16%Better than the typical NHL regular among goalies
Arrival2029-30The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.5+1.1+3.5Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 3 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His save percentage, adjusted for league, against every goalie his age that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-3-2-10+11617181920Age2020-21, age 16, 15 GP: -0.22 vs. his age group2024-25, age 20, 25 GP: -0.20 vs. his age group
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 27: 100 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 27Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Jonas Johansson2014 · #61 · at 2143%61105Regular after 27—
2Anthony Stolarz2012 · #45 · at 2242%62171Regular after 27—
3Dan Vladar2015 · #75 · at 2242%105161Regular+0.51
4Samu Perhonen2011 · #62 · at 2341%00Did not stick—
5Brandon Halverson2014 · #59 · at 2139%14Did not stick—
6Thatcher Demko2014 · #36 · at 2139%219262Regular+2.28
7Igor Bobkov2009 · #76 · at 2338%00Did not stick—
8Oscar Dansk2012 · #31 · at 2238%66Did not stick—
9Tyler Beskorowany2008 · #59 · at 2238%00Did not stick—
10Jacob Markstrom2008 · #31 · at 2138%169583Regular+3.47
Season by season
SeasonGPRecordSv%GAASO
2025-26ECHL · Jacksonville Icemen73-1-1.8803.240
2025-26AHL · Rochester Americans83-3-3.8553.480
2024-25HockeyAllsvenskan · Mora IK2513-10-0.9102.314
2023-24U20 SM-sarja · JYP U2041-3-0.8713.280
2023-24Mestis · KeuPa HT20-2-0.8504.530
2023-24Liiga · JYP60-4-1.8444.140
2022-23U20 SM-sarja · JYP U202312-10-0.8852.721
2022-23Mestis · KeuPa HT21-1-0.8683.610
2022-23Liiga · JYP81-5-1.8583.081
2021-22WJC-18 · Finland U1853-2-0.8972.610
2021-22U20 SM-sarja · JYP U20219-10-0.9162.282
2021-22Mestis · KeuPa HT21-1-0.8613.150
2021-22Liiga · JYP40-1-2.8255.020
2020-21U20 SM-sarja · JYP U20150-0-0.895—0
2019-20U18 SM-sarja · JYP U18220-0-0.910—0
2018-19U16 SM-sarja · JYP U16140-0-0.8953.430

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. Goalie projections carry the widest error on the site — goaltending develops late, and there are few goalies to learn from. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work