Goaltender · BUF · QMJHL

Samuel Meloche

Age: 19
Height: 6'2"
Weight: 197 lb
Catches: L
Drafted: 2025, round 4, 116th overall
Born: CAN

2026-27: QMJHL · Saint John Sea Dogs
Games: 6
Save pct: .907
GAA: 2.76

Prospect score · 2026-27

64/100

Depth

352nd of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

11th in the BUF system · 3rd among its goalies

+1.4WAR a season if he sticks

Outlook

NHL odds13%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 100 games by 27

Impact odds6%Better than the typical NHL regular among goalies

Arrival—Too unlikely to stick for an arrival year to mean much

WAR a season if he sticks

−0.0+1.4+4.1Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 1 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His save percentage, adjusted for league, against every goalie his age that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age

Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 27: 100 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#	Player	Match	NHL GP by 27	Career NHL GP	Outcome	WAR a season
1	Francois Tremblay2012 · #146 · at 19	67%	0	0	Did not stick	—
2	Evan Cormier2016 · #105 · at 19	66%	0	0	Did not stick	—
3	Scott Stajcer2009 · #140 · at 19	62%	0	0	Did not stick	—
4	J-F Berube2009 · #95 · at 19	53%	34	40	Did not stick	—
5	Jordan Binnington2011 · #88 · at 19	53%	125	379	Regular	+3.38
6	Adam Morrison2009 · #81 · at 19	52%	0	0	Did not stick	—
7	Zane McIntyre2010 · #165 · at 19	51%	8	8	Did not stick	—
8	Jake Paterson2012 · #80 · at 19	51%	0	0	Did not stick	—
9	Kevin Poulin2008 · #126 · at 19	51%	50	50	Did not stick	—
10	Tyler Bunz2010 · #121 · at 18	50%	1	1	Did not stick	—

Season by season

Season	GP	Record	Sv%	GAA	SO
2026-27QMJHL · Saint John Sea Dogs	6	5-0-1	.907	2.76	0
2025-26QMJHL · Rouyn-Noranda Huskies	50	33-13-3	.897	2.75	3
2024-25QMJHL · Rouyn-Noranda Huskies	51	30-14-6	.900	2.90	5
2023-24QMJHL · Rouyn-Noranda Huskies	1	1-0-0	.931	1.97	0
2023-24QM18AAA · Châteauguay Grenadiers	29	12-15-0	.911	3.21	0
2022-23QM18AAA · Châteauguay Grenadiers	21	9-11-0	.906	3.39	0
2021-22QM17E · Lac St-Louis Grenadiers M17 Espoir	19	9-3-4	—	1.37	5

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. Goalie projections carry the widest error on the site — goaltending develops late, and there are few goalies to learn from. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work