Leo Sahlin-Wallenius
Defense · SJS · SHL

Leo Sahlin-Wallenius

Age
20
Height
6'0"
Weight
180 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2024, round 2, 53rd overall
Born
SWE
2026-27
AHL · San Jose Barracuda
Games
5
Goals
0
Assists
1
Points
1
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

76th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

5th in the SJS system · 4th among its defensemen

+0.6WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds51%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds27%Better than the typical NHL regular among defensemen
Arrival2028-29The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.1+0.6+2.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 2 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+21516171819Age2021-22, age 15, 30 GP: -0.82 vs. his age group (0.02 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 16, 46 GP: -0.71 vs. his age group (0.03 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 17, 43 GP: +0.51 vs. his age group (0.10 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 18, 30 GP: +0.96 vs. his age group (0.17 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 19, 32 GP: +1.44 vs. his age group (0.25 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Danny Biega2010 · #67 · at 2038%1010Did not stick—
2Matt Grzelcyk2012 · #85 · at 2037%234597Regular+0.47
3Reilly Walsh2017 · #81 · at 2036%11Did not stick—
4Jack Rathbone2017 · #95 · at 2033%2828Did not stick—
5Ryan Pilon2015 · #147 · at 2032%00Did not stick—
6Patrick McNally2010 · #115 · at 2032%00Did not stick—
7Jon Merrill2010 · #38 · at 2032%307682Regular+0.13
8Jeremy Roy2015 · #31 · at 2032%00Did not stick—
9David Warsofsky2008 · #95 · at 2032%3955Did not stick—
10Mattias Backman2011 · #146 · at 2032%00Did not stick—
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · San Jose Barracuda50116
2025-26WJC-20 · Sweden U2071562
2025-26SHL · Växjö Lakers HC323101314
2024-25SHL · Växjö Lakers HC161450
2024-25Liiga · TPS71232
2024-25J20 Nationell · Växjö Lakers HC U208311142
2024-25HockeyAllsvenskan · Nybro Vikings IF1415612
2024-25Champions HL · Växjö Lakers HC30000
2023-24WJC-18 · Sweden U18703312
2023-24WJAC-19 · Sweden U1862248
2023-24J20 Nationell · Växjö Lakers HC U204311314238
2023-24J18 Region · Växjö Lakers HC U1830114
2023-24Hlinka Gretzky Cup · Sweden U1841456
2023-24Champions HL · Växjö Lakers HC20000
2022-23J20 Nationell · Växjö Lakers HC U20302686
2022-23J18 Region · Växjö Lakers HC U1816781510
2022-23J18 Nationell · Växjö Lakers HC U1840222
2021-22U16 SM · Växjö Lakers HC U1632130
2021-22U16 Region · Växjö Lakers HC U1620002
2021-22TV-Pucken · Västergötland51232
2021-22J20 Nationell · Växjö Lakers HC U2050226
2021-22J18 Region · Växjö Lakers HC U18150886
2021-22J18 Nationell · Växjö Lakers HC U18150666
2020-21J18 Div.1 · Skövde HC U1850220
2019-20U16 Div.1 · Skövde IK U16137111812
2018-19WSI U13 · Sweden Selects U1360220
2018-19U16 Div.1 · Skövde IK/Töreboda U16104484
2017-18WSI U12 · Sweden Selects U1270000

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work