Kieron Walton
Center · WPG · OHL

Kieron Walton

Age
20
Height
6'6"
Weight
211 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2024, round 6, 187th overall
Born
CAN
2025-26
OHL · Sudbury Wolves
Games
33
Goals
24
Assists
28
Points
52
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

83rd of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

2nd in the WPG system · 2nd among its forwards

+0.8WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds52%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds26%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2029-30The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.1+0.8+2.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 2 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+116171819Age2022-23, age 16, 46 GP: -0.90 vs. his age group (0.05 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 17, 65 GP: -0.21 vs. his age group (0.12 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 18, 66 GP: +0.64 vs. his age group (0.24 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 19, 33 GP: +0.46 vs. his age group (0.28 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Daniel Pribyl2011 · #168 · at 2044%00Did not stick—
2Morgan Barron2017 · #174 · at 2041%321328Regular+0.32
3Marek Tvrdon2011 · #115 · at 2039%00Did not stick—
4Derek Grant2008 · #119 · at 2039%86427Regular after 26—
5Otto Koivula2016 · #120 · at 2039%2828Did not stick—
6Hudson Fasching2013 · #118 · at 2038%38175Did not stick—
7Ostap Safin2017 · #115 · at 2037%00Did not stick—
8Michael Mersch2011 · #110 · at 2037%1717Did not stick—
9Mark Stone2010 · #178 · at 2037%384775Regular+2.63
10Bogdan Yakimov2013 · #83 · at 2036%11Did not stick—
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2025-26OHL · Sudbury Wolves3324285212
2024-25OHL · Sudbury Wolves6638549243
2024-25AHL · Manitoba Moose40110
2023-24OHL · Sudbury Wolves6518254318
2022-23OHL · Sudbury Wolves4685130
2021-22U16 AAA · North York Rangers U16 AAA433327600
2021-22OHL Cup · North York Rangers U16 AAA40222

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work