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Jake Richard
Right wing · BUF · NCAA

Jake Richard

Age
22
Height
6'1"
Weight
195 lb
Shoots
R
Drafted
2022, round 6, 170th overall
Born
USA
2026-27
AHL · Rochester Americans
Games
4
Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2

His NHL ratings and game log →

Prospect score · 2026-27
Long shot

771st of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

25th in the BUF system · 12th among its forwards

+0.8WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds4%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds2%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival—Too unlikely to stick for an arrival year to mean much
WAR a season if he sticks+0.1+0.8+2.0Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 1 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+11718192021Age2021-22, age 17, 56 GP: +0.20 vs. his age group (0.15 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 18, 57 GP: +0.17 vs. his age group (0.19 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 19, 36 GP: -0.55 vs. his age group (0.13 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 20, 34 GP: +0.49 vs. his age group (0.33 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 21, 38 GP: -0.43 vs. his age group (0.18 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Levko Koper2009 · #185 · at 2275%00Did not stick—
2Matthew Mistele2014 · #180 · at 2268%00Did not stick—
3Noah Cates2017 · #137 · at 2264%317326Regular+0.70
4Travis Boyd2011 · #177 · at 2263%85299Regular after 26—
5David Cotton2015 · #169 · at 2263%00Did not stick—
6David Wohlberg2008 · #172 · at 2263%00Did not stick—
7Sean Malone2013 · #159 · at 2262%22Did not stick—
8Coda Gordon2012 · #165 · at 2261%00Did not stick—
9Brian Pinho2013 · #174 · at 2261%22Did not stick—
10Ben Sexton2009 · #206 · at 2258%22Did not stick—
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · Rochester Americans41122
2025-26NCAA · Univ. of Connecticut3810172742
2024-25NCAA · Univ. of Connecticut3415284316
2023-24NCAA · Univ. of Connecticut36711186
2022-23WJAC-19 · USA U1961454
2022-23USHL · Muskegon Lumberjacks5731316273
2021-22USHL · Muskegon Lumberjacks5618304824
2021-22USA-S17 · Team Grey41012
2020-21NAPHL 16U · Florida Alliance 16U AAA2245297457
2019-20USHS-FL · Jenkins High102623496
2019-20USA-S15 · Team Navy40112
2019-20NAPHL 15U · Florida Alliance 15O AAA121721388

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work