WARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath Buffalo
Felix Nilsson
Center · NSH · SHL

Felix Nilsson

Age
21
Height
6'2"
Weight
186 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2023, round 2, 43rd overall
Born
SWE
2026-27
AHL · Milwaukee Admirals
Games
2
Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Prospect score · 2026-27
Blue chip

26th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

2nd in the NSH system · 2nd among its forwards

+1.1WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds74%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds58%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2027-28The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.6+1.1+1.9Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 7 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-2-10+1+21617181920Age2021-22, age 16, 52 GP: -1.07 vs. his age group (0.04 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 17, 54 GP: -0.64 vs. his age group (0.08 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 18, 63 GP: -0.92 vs. his age group (0.07 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 19, 40 GP: +0.89 vs. his age group (0.34 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 20, 52 GP: +1.33 vs. his age group (0.47 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Nick Sorensen2013 · #45 · at 2146%55Did not stick—
2William Karlsson2011 · #53 · at 2144%410761Regular+1.77
3Pavel Buchnevich2013 · #75 · at 2144%374680Regular+1.57
4Calle Jarnkrok2010 · #51 · at 2143%395774Regular+1.19
5J.T. Compher2013 · #35 · at 2143%341660Regular+1.14
6Nikolai Prokhorkin2012 · #121 · at 2143%4343Did not stick—
7Marcus Davidsson2017 · #37 · at 2142%00Did not stick—
8Josh Norris2017 · #19 · at 2140%283291Regular+1.50
9Oscar Lindberg2010 · #57 · at 2139%252252Regular+0.37
10Artturi Lehkonen2013 · #55 · at 2139%412667Regular+0.84
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · Milwaukee Admirals20000
2025-26SHL · Rögle BK5214264014
2024-25WJC-20 · Sweden U2071562
2024-25SHL · Rögle BK40517224
2024-25HockeyAllsvenskan · IK Oskarshamn51010
2024-25EHT · Sweden30000
2023-24SHL · Rögle BK411232
2023-24J20 Nationell · Rögle BK U20228152310
2022-23WJAC-19 · Sweden U1860444
2022-23SHL · Rögle BK180002
2022-23J20 Nationell · Rögle BK U203619224126
2022-23J18 Region · Rögle BK J1820220
2022-23J18 Nationell · Rögle BK J1820004
2022-23Hlinka Gretzky Cup · Sweden U1850112
2021-22J20 Nationell · Rögle BK U20193362
2021-22J18 Region · Rögle BK U1820816240
2021-22J18 Nationell · Rögle BK U181338112
2020-21TV-Pucken · Stockholm Nord30440
2020-21J18 Region · SDE HF J1881346
2019-20U16 Div.1 · SDE HF U16219182710

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work