Daxon Rudolph
- Age
- 18
- Height
- 6'3"
- Weight
- 206 lb
- Shoots
- R
- Drafted
- 2026, round 1, 4th overall
- Born
- CAN
- 2026-27
- NCAA · Univ. of Denver
- Games
- 2
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 4
- Points
- 5
Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 10 became full-time NHL players.
His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.
Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.
| # | Player | Match | NHL GP by 26 | Career NHL GP | Outcome | WAR a season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adam Larsson2011 · #4 · at 18 | 70% | 547 | 1020 | Regular | +0.18 |
| 2 | Alex Pietrangelo2008 · #4 · at 18 | 60% | 539 | 1087 | Regular | +1.44 |
| 3 | Drew Doughty2008 · #2 · at 18 | 46% | 688 | 1284 | Regular | +1.21 |
| 4 | Seth Jones2013 · #4 · at 18 | 45% | 658 | 920 | Regular | +0.96 |
| 5 | Noah Hanifin2015 · #5 · at 18 | 42% | 678 | 838 | Regular | +0.95 |
| 6 | Zach Werenski2015 · #8 · at 18 | 38% | 486 | 647 | Regular | +1.10 |
| 7 | Cale Makar2017 · #4 · at 18 | 35% | 470 | 476 | Regular | +3.03 |
| 8 | Jake Bean2016 · #13 · at 18 | 34% | 261 | 277 | Regular | +0.25 |
| 9 | Dmitry Kulikov2009 · #14 · at 18 | 33% | 569 | 1045 | Regular | +0.31 |
| 10 | Cam Fowler2010 · #12 · at 18 | 33% | 620 | 1131 | Regular | +0.57 |
| Season | GP | G | A | Pts | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27NCAA · Univ. of Denver | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 2025-26WHL · Prince Albert Raiders | 68 | 28 | 50 | 78 | 75 |
| 2025-26Prospects Challenge · Team CHL | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 2025-26Hlinka Gretzky Cup · Canada U18 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 2024-25WHL · Prince Albert Raiders | 64 | 7 | 34 | 41 | 30 |
| 2023-24YOG · Canada U16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2023-24WHL Cup · Team Alberta | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 2023-24CSSHL U18 · Northern Alberta Xtreme U18 Prep | 28 | 22 | 37 | 59 | 14 |
| 2022-23CSSHL U15 · Northern Alberta Xtreme U15 Prep | 30 | 17 | 33 | 50 | 52 |
| 2022-23Alberta Cup · Team Alberta Black | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 2021-22AEHL U15 · Red Deer Rebels U15 AAA | 24 | 2 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
| 2017-18Brick Invitational · Team Brick Alberta | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work