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Carter Yakemchuk
Defense · OTT · NHL

Carter Yakemchuk

Age
20
Height
6'3"
Weight
219 lb
Shoots
R
Drafted
2024, round 1, 7th overall
Born
CAN
2026-27
NHL · Ottawa Senators
Games
8
Goals
1
Assists
1
Points
2
Prospect score · 2026-27
Blue chip

12th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

1st in the OTT system · 1st among its defensemen

+0.9WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds>99%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds55%Better than the typical NHL regular among defensemen
Arrival2026-27The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.1+0.9+1.5Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 10 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+1+2+31516171819Age2021-22, age 15, 56 GP: -0.06 vs. his age group (0.04 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 16, 67 GP: +1.68 vs. his age group (0.13 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 17, 66 GP: +2.20 vs. his age group (0.19 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 18, 56 GP: +0.82 vs. his age group (0.16 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 19, 54 GP: +2.23 vs. his age group (0.32 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Cody Ceci2012 · #15 · at 2028%549958Regular+0.26
2Adam Larsson2011 · #4 · at 2027%5471020Regular+0.18
3Ivan Provorov2015 · #7 · at 2026%614778Regular+0.88
4Dmitry Kulikov2009 · #14 · at 2025%5691045Regular+0.31
5Hampus Lindholm2012 · #6 · at 2025%521836Regular+1.07
6Justin Faulk2010 · #37 · at 2025%5591065Regular+1.11
7Mathew Dumba2012 · #7 · at 2025%462748Regular+0.95
8Morgan Rielly2012 · #5 · at 2024%572959Regular+0.96
9Alex Pietrangelo2008 · #4 · at 2024%5391087Regular+1.44
10Mikhail Sergachev2016 · #9 · at 2024%552638Regular+1.16
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27NHL · Ottawa Senators81122
2025-26NHL · Ottawa Senators41122
2025-26AHL · Belleville Senators5410304036
2024-25WHL · Calgary Hitmen5617324982
2023-24WHL · Calgary Hitmen66304171120
2022-23WJC-18 · Canada U1870002
2022-23WHL · Calgary Hitmen6719284731
2021-22WHL · Calgary Hitmen56491314
2020-21AEHL U18 · Calgary Flames U18 AAA50004
2019-20AMMHL · NWCAA Stampeders U16 AAA30112
2019-20AMBHL · Calgary Flames U15 AAA327212837
2018-19AMBHL · Calgary Flames U15 AAA3347118
2014-15Brick Invitational · Team Brick Alberta60112

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work