Caleb Desnoyers
Center · UTA · AHL

Caleb Desnoyers

Age
19
Height
6'2"
Weight
178 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2025, round 1, 4th overall
Born
CAN
2026-27
AHL · Tucson Roadrunners
Games
4
Goals
2
Assists
1
Points
3
Prospect score · 2026-27
Blue chip

24th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

1st in the UTA system · 1st among its forwards

+1.1WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds84%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds49%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2027-28The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.3+1.1+2.1Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 8 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+1+215161718Age2022-23, age 15, 42 GP: +1.04 vs. his age group (0.13 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 16, 60 GP: +0.70 vs. his age group (0.15 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 17, 56 GP: +1.25 vs. his age group (0.24 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 18, 45 GP: +0.95 vs. his age group (0.28 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Ryan Strome2011 · #5 · at 1946%491923Regular+0.29
2Michael Dal Colle2014 · #5 · at 1943%112112Did not stick—
3Jonathan Huberdeau2011 · #3 · at 1942%536962Regular+1.61
4Nikolaj Ehlers2014 · #9 · at 1941%523764Regular+2.42
5Sam Bennett2014 · #4 · at 1940%546775Regular+0.47
6Brett Connolly2010 · #6 · at 1940%427536Regular+0.62
7Nazem Kadri2009 · #7 · at 1937%4881069Regular+2.24
8Cody Glass2017 · #6 · at 1937%322329Regular+0.49
9Scott Glennie2009 · #8 · at 1937%11Did not stick—
10Cody Hodgson2008 · #10 · at 1936%328328Regular+0.78
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · Tucson Roadrunners42130
2025-26QMJHL · Moncton Wildcats4522567836
2024-25QMJHL · Moncton Wildcats5635498439
2024-25Prospects Challenge · Team CHL21124
2024-25Memorial Cup · Moncton Wildcats41124
2024-25Hlinka Gretzky Cup · Canada U1851456
2023-24WJC-18 · Canada U1851458
2023-24WHC-17 · Canada White U1783254
2023-24QMJHL · Moncton Wildcats6020365626
2022-23U18 NCC · Saint-Hyacinthe Gaulois757126
2022-23QM18AAA · Saint-Hyacinthe Gaulois4223305344
2022-23CWG · Team Québec61896
2021-22QM17E · Richelieu Gaulois M17 Espoir41232
2021-22QM15AAA E · École Fadette Vert et Noir M15 AAA E2619274634
2019-20QC Int PW · École Fadette Vert et Noir42682

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work