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Brodie Ziemer
Right wing · BUF · NCAA

Brodie Ziemer

Age
20
Height
5'11"
Weight
192 lb
Shoots
R
Drafted
2024, round 3, 71st overall
Born
USA
2026-27
NCAA · Univ. of Minnesota
Games
2
Goals
0
Assists
0
Points
0
Prospect score · 2026-27
Projectable

187th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

7th in the BUF system · 3rd among its forwards

+0.7WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds30%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds12%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2028-29The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks−0.1+0.7+1.3Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 4 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+11516171819Age2021-22, age 15, 59 GP: +0.30 vs. his age group (0.10 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 16, 100 GP: +0.24 vs. his age group (0.12 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 17, 88 GP: +0.52 vs. his age group (0.18 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 18, 38 GP: -0.14 vs. his age group (0.16 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 19, 36 GP: +0.34 vs. his age group (0.26 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Ryan Donato2014 · #56 · at 2055%325573Regular+0.71
2Danny Kristo2008 · #56 · at 2051%00Did not stick—
3J.T. Compher2013 · #35 · at 2049%341660Regular+1.14
4Tyler Motte2013 · #121 · at 2049%269455Regular+0.16
5Rudolfs Balcers2015 · #142 · at 2049%170170Did not stick—
6Tommy Novak2015 · #85 · at 2048%149292Regular after 26—
7Sean Malone2013 · #159 · at 2047%22Did not stick—
8Bill Arnold2010 · #108 · at 2047%11Did not stick—
9Kenny Agostino2010 · #140 · at 2047%8586Did not stick—
10Troy Terry2015 · #148 · at 2045%350488Regular+1.31
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27NCAA · Univ. of Minnesota20000
2025-26NCAA · Univ. of Minnesota3623133626
2024-25WJC-20 · USA U2073470
2024-25NCAA · Univ. of Minnesota3812112321
2023-24WJC-18 · USA U18739120
2023-24USHL · USNTDP Juniors27816248
2023-24NTDP · U.S. National U18 Team6127437016
2022-23WHC-17 · USA U1773362
2022-23USHL · USNTDP Juniors3911182916
2022-23NTDP · U.S. National U17 Team6118254332
2021-22USA-S15 · Team Black41566
2021-2215U AAA · Shattuck St. Mary's 15U AAA59495910856
2020-2114U AAA · Shattuck St. Mary's 14U AAA50496010932
2019-20MNBEL 14U · MN Rangers 14U AAA41230

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work