WARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath BuffaloWARpath Buffalo
Andrew Cristall
Left wing · WSH · AHL

Andrew Cristall

Age
21
Height
5'10"
Weight
167 lb
Shoots
L
Drafted
2023, round 2, 40th overall
Born
CAN
2026-27
AHL · Hershey Bears
Games
4
Goals
0
Assists
8
Points
8
Prospect score · 2026-27
High end

96th of 1,160 prospects in the NHLnew

5th in the WSH system · 4th among its forwards

+1.1WAR a season if he sticks
Outlook
NHL odds35%Becomes a full-time NHL player — 200 games by 26
Impact odds30%Better than the typical NHL regular among forwards
Arrival2028-29The season his comps who made it typically became regulars
WAR a season if he sticks+0.4+1.1+2.4Low, middle and high outcomes among his comparables who became regulars

Of the 10 players most like him at the same point in their development, 3 became full-time NHL players.

Development

His scoring, converted to an NHL equivalent, against every player his age and position that season. Zero is the average player his age; the band is where his comparables were at each age.

-10+1+2+3151617181920Age2020-21, age 15, 14 GP: -0.36 vs. his age group (0.06 NHL-equivalent points per game)2021-22, age 16, 61 GP: +1.51 vs. his age group (0.20 NHL-equivalent points per game)2022-23, age 17, 54 GP: +2.08 vs. his age group (0.31 NHL-equivalent points per game)2023-24, age 18, 62 GP: +1.30 vs. his age group (0.32 NHL-equivalent points per game)2024-25, age 19, 57 GP: +1.41 vs. his age group (0.41 NHL-equivalent points per game)2025-26, age 20, 72 GP: +0.68 vs. his age group (0.36 NHL-equivalent points per game)
HimMiddle half of his comps at that ageAverage player his age
Comparables

Past prospects at the same position and the same stage after their draft, matched on draft slot, age, size and league-adjusted production. What they became is already known. The outcome is judged at 26: 200 NHL games by then makes a regular.

#PlayerMatchNHL GP by 26Career NHL GPOutcomeWAR a season
1Artturi Lehkonen2013 · #55 · at 2153%412667Regular+0.84
2Aleksi Heponiemi2017 · #40 · at 2152%2525Did not stick—
3Jonathan Dahlen2016 · #42 · at 2149%6161Did not stick—
4Jake Guentzel2013 · #77 · at 2145%375688Regular+2.43
5Alex Khokhlachev2011 · #40 · at 2145%99Did not stick—
6William Karlsson2011 · #53 · at 2142%410761Regular+1.77
7Tyler Benson2016 · #32 · at 2141%3838Did not stick—
8Rasmus Asplund2016 · #33 · at 2141%189189Did not stick—
9Nick Sorensen2013 · #45 · at 2141%55Did not stick—
10Kyle Rau2011 · #91 · at 2141%4261Did not stick—
Season by season
SeasonGPGAPtsPIM
2026-27AHL · Hershey Bears40880
2025-26AHL · Hershey Bears7220406024
2024-25WHL · Kelowna Rockets57488413234
2023-24WHL · Kelowna Rockets62407111146
2022-23WJC-18 · Canada U1872462
2022-23WHL · Kelowna Rockets5439569550
2022-23Hlinka Gretzky Cup · Canada U1851566
2021-22WHL · Kelowna Rockets6128416932
2020-21WHL · Kelowna Rockets142350
2020-21CSSHL U18 · St. George's School U18 Prep43148
2019-20CSSHL U16 · St. George's School Elite 15s11010
2019-20CSSHL U15 · St. George's School U15 Prep2743378047
2018-19CSSHL U15 · St. George's School U15 Prep3025275216
2017-18QC Int PW · Burnaby Winter Club Bruins41232
2016-17QC Int PW · Burnaby Winter Club Bruins41670
2014-15Brick Invitational · BC Junior Canucks62466

The prospect score is a percentile of his expected outcome among every prospect in the league: the chance he becomes a regular, times how good his comparables who did became against others at their position. A player who never sticks counts as zero, which is why a long shot with a high ceiling can rank below a safe bet. All Sabres prospects · How the rankings work